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Long-term forecasts of heating period duration for the Volga Federal District

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dc.contributor Казанский федеральный университет
dc.contributor.author Vazhnova Nadezhda Aleksandrovna
dc.date.accessioned 2021-05-14T08:28:46Z
dc.date.available 2021-05-14T08:28:46Z
dc.date.issued 2019
dc.identifier.citation Vazhnova N.A. Long-term forecasts of heating period duration for the Volga Federal District / N.A. Vazhnova // Turismo-Estudos Praticas. - 2019. - №1. - P. 1-9. - ISSN 2316-1493.
dc.identifier.uri https://dspace.kpfu.ru/xmlui/handle/net/163649
dc.description.abstract The principal fundamentals of the forecast method for heating period duration are considered in this paper, taking into account the date of a stable autumn decrease of the mean daily air temperature through 8 C. The largest average forecast errors (up to - 9 ÷ 9.4 days) were observed in the northern and the northwestern parts of the Volga Federal District (VFD) - in the zone with the greatest spring variability of circulation and thermal regimes. Nevertheless, the main result of the work is that methodological forecasts proved to be much more effective than formal ones, which inspires certain confidence in the future prospects of their scientific and practical basis use.
dc.language.iso en
dc.relation.ispartofseries Turismo-Estudos Praticas
dc.rights открытый доступ
dc.subject Long-term forecast
dc.subject heating season duration
dc.subject the transition of the average daily air temperature below 8 ?С
dc.title Long-term forecasts of heating period duration for the Volga Federal District
dc.type Article
dc.contributor.org Институт экологии и природопользования
dc.description.pages 1-9
dc.relation.ispartofseries-volume 1
dc.pub-id 252823


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