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Modified index method in scenarios of regional socio-economic development

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dc.contributor.author Panasyuk M.
dc.contributor.author Pudovik E.
dc.contributor.author Malganova I.
dc.date.accessioned 2018-09-18T20:38:19Z
dc.date.available 2018-09-18T20:38:19Z
dc.date.issued 2014
dc.identifier.issn 2039-9340
dc.identifier.uri https://dspace.kpfu.ru/xmlui/handle/net/141978
dc.description.abstract The paper proposes research approach to analysis of regional socioeconomic system development. The system of estimated parameters of regional socioeconomic system state in the context of municipalities and local government entities is substantiated. It allows determining the optimal variant of regional system development and the level of municipalities' economic development based on medium term (5 - 10 years) scenarios. The authors have elaborated modified index method for forecasting the regional socio - economic system state based on analysis of a degree of change of socio-economic development parameters, depending on the scenario option. The paper shows the mechanism of the proposed method usage and the results of the individual expert judgments colligation. The prospects of raising the level of socio - economic development of the Republic of Tatarstan municipalities are determined. By prioritizing, basic (needed for implementation of any scenario) and special (requiring urgent actions for each of the scenarios) directions of region development are offered. The directions of development are considered from the standpoint of the four types of territorial differentiation of socio-economic development of the region ("North-South", "East-West", "center-periphery", and «mono - multiethnic regions). Major trends of probable variations in intraregional disparities in socio-economic development of the Republic of Tatarstan are related to strengthening the role of semi-periphery in the regional development and reduction of differentiation of socio-economic development level between the central and peripheral zones, as well as to the ongoing regional spatial polarization of the Republic.
dc.relation.ispartofseries Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences
dc.subject Index method
dc.subject Regional economics
dc.subject Regional forecast
dc.subject Socioeconomic development
dc.title Modified index method in scenarios of regional socio-economic development
dc.type Article
dc.relation.ispartofseries-issue 18
dc.relation.ispartofseries-volume 5
dc.collection Публикации сотрудников КФУ
dc.relation.startpage 331
dc.source.id SCOPUS20399340-2014-5-18-SID84906855099


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  • Публикации сотрудников КФУ Scopus [24551]
    Коллекция содержит публикации сотрудников Казанского федерального (до 2010 года Казанского государственного) университета, проиндексированные в БД Scopus, начиная с 1970г.

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